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The homicide rate has been declining in the United States, and advances in health care, nutrition, and sanitation have dramatically reduced mortality from more common causes such as accident and illness.

Despite these positive trends, many people continue to perceive the world as a place that's growing increasingly dangerous, and these fears can have devastating psychological consequences.

The United States Has Become a Safer Place, Particularly for Children

In the U.S., 30% of all deaths in 1900 involved children under 5 years of age; in 1999, that figure was 1.4% (Field & Behrman, 2003). Although violent deaths resulting from crime receive a disproportionate amount of media coverage, accidents and illnesses are responsible for the majority of deaths, particularly among children.

Mortality due to illness and accident declined dramatically over the past century, and according to the U.S. Department of Justice, U.S. homicide rates have dropped off sharply after hitting a peak in the 1970s through 1990s, and are continuing to decline.

As for the likelihood of being the victim of a larger-scale crime, Carl Robichaud, of The Century Foundation, provides a number of positive global statistics:

• Armed conflicts have declined by over 50% since the beginning of the 1990s.
• The number of worldwide genocides and “politicides” fell by 80% between 1988 and 2001.
• International arms deals declined by 33% in real dollar values from 1990 to 2003.
• The number of refugees decreased 45% from 1992 to 2003.

According to the Human Security Centre (2005), battle-related deaths have also declined heavily since 1953, and the spread of democratization is decreasing the number of governments that are likely to engage in war and genocide.

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